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Base Set Zapdos 16/102: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

Base Set Zapdos 16/102 shows an unusually wide gem-mint premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $1,445 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 8.9x. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $1,726.00 on May 28, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

Base Set Zapdos 16/102 Holo
PSA 10
$1,627.06
Last sale $1,726.00 on
PSA 9
$182.17
Last sale $172.50 on
PSA 8
$93.27
Last sale $102.50 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Zapdos 16/102 (Base Set).

$1,445
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
8.9x
PSA 10 sells for 8.9x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Base Set 16/102 Zapdos Holo is a WOTC-era release from 1999. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $1,445.

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