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Base Set Mewtwo 10/102: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

Base Set Mewtwo 10/102 shows an unusually wide gem-mint premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $4,111 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 11.3x. The crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

Base Set Mewtwo 10/102 Holo
PSA 10
$4,510.04
PSA 9
$398.58
PSA 8
Limited recent sales tracked. Pull eBay sold comps before acting.

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Mewtwo 10/102 (Base Set).

$4,111
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
11.3x
PSA 10 sells for 11.3x a PSA 9

The Cross-Grade Read

Where this card sits across grade tiers, and against its own set.

Grade-Tier Spread
Raw to PSA 9 $365 (1,075%)
PSA 9 to PSA 10 $4,111 (1,032%)
Raw to PSA 10 $4,476 (13,196%)
Set-Wide Cross-Grade Spread
11.3x
This card, PSA 10 to PSA 9
#4 of 94
Approx. widest-gap rank in Base Set
3.6x
Base Set median gap

At 11.3x, the gem-mint premium on this card is an unusually wide gap versus the Base Set median of 3.6x, approximately the 4th-widest gem-mint gap of 94 priced Base Set cards.

Dealer Read

The grade is doing the heavy lifting on price here: a PSA 10 trades at 11.3x a PSA 9. It ranks approximately 4th of 94 in the set for gem-mint spread, an unusually wide gap against the 3.6x median.

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Base Set 10/102 Mewtwo Holo is a WOTC-era release from 1999. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $4,111.

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