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Base Set Chansey 3/102: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on Base Set Chansey 3/102 is an unusually wide gem-mint premium: $6,987, with PSA 10 copies trading at 19.7x a PSA 9. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $6,082.19 on Apr 12, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

Base Set Chansey 3/102 Holo
PSA 10
$7,360.72
Last sale $6,082.19 on
PSA 9
$374.12
Last sale $402.00 on
PSA 8
$92.73
Last sale $73.00 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Chansey 3/102 (Base Set).

$6,987
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
19.7x
PSA 10 sells for 19.7x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader Base Set picture: a WOTC-era holo carrying a $6,987 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 19.7x multiple on the PSA 9 price.

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