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Fossil Zapdos #15: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on Fossil Zapdos #15 is one of the widest gaps in vintage WOTC: $1,309, with PSA 10 copies trading at 7.9x a PSA 9. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $1,500.00 on Feb 23, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

Fossil Zapdos #15 Holo
PSA 10
$1,500.00
Last sale $1,500.00 on
PSA 9
$191.00
Last sale $240.00 on
PSA 8
$76.53
Last sale $72.88 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Zapdos #15 Fossil.

$1,309
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
7.9x
PSA 10 sells for 7.9x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader Fossil picture: a holo with a $1,309 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.

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