How much is a PSA 10 Dragonite 4/62 (Fossil) worth?

A PSA 10 Dragonite 4/62 from Fossil is currently worth about $13,550, based on recent eBay sold comps via PokeTrace.

How much is a PSA 9 Dragonite 4/62 (Fossil) worth?

A PSA 9 Dragonite 4/62 from Fossil is currently worth about $703, based on recent eBay sold comps via PokeTrace.

What is the PSA 10 vs PSA 9 price gap on Dragonite 4/62 (Fossil)?

PSA 10 ($13,550) trades at roughly a $12,847 premium over PSA 9 ($703), about 19.3x.

Fossil Dragonite 4/62: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

Fossil Dragonite 4/62 shows an unusually wide gem-mint premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $12,847 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 19.3x. The crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

PSA 10

$13,550.00

PSA 9

$703.11

PSA 8

—

Limited recent sales tracked. Pull eBay sold comps before acting.

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Dragonite 4/62 (Fossil).

$12,847

Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10

19.3x

PSA 10 sells for 19.3x a PSA 9

The Cross-Grade Read

Where this card sits across grade tiers, and against its own set.

Grade-Tier Spread

Raw to PSA 9 $622 (771%)

PSA 9 to PSA 10 $12,847 (1,827%)

Raw to PSA 10 $13,469 (16,684%)

Set-Wide Cross-Grade Spread

19.3x

This card, PSA 10 to PSA 9

#2 of 42

Approx. widest-gap rank in Fossil

5.6x

Fossil median gap

At 19.3x, the gem-mint premium on this card is an unusually wide gap versus the Fossil median of 5.6x, approximately the 2nd-widest gem-mint gap of 42 priced Fossil cards.

Dealer Read

The grade is doing the heavy lifting on price here: a PSA 10 trades at 19.3x a PSA 9. It ranks approximately 2nd of 42 in the set for gem-mint spread, an unusually wide gap against the 5.6x median.

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

PSA 9 acquisition cost ($)

PSA resub cost ($)

Probability of each outcome (must total 100%)

PSA 10 (upgrade) 15%

PSA 9 (regrade) 70%

PSA 8 (downgrade) 15%

Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.

PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0

PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0

PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0

Expected Value

Math favors holding the 9

Fossil 4/62 Dragonite Holo is a WOTC-era release from 1999. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $12,847.

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