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SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Dragonite #149: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

On SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Dragonite #149, the PSA 10 premium is one of the widest gaps in vintage WOTC: PSA 10 sells for 5x a PSA 9, a $86 delta. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $107.95 on Mar 13, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Dragonite #149
PSA 10
$107.95
Last sale $107.95 on
PSA 9
$21.47
Last sale $21.47 on
PSA 8
$8.50
Last sale $8.50 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Dragonite #149 SV: Scarlet & Violet 151.

$86
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
5x
PSA 10 sells for 5x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 picture: a non-holo with a $86 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.

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