SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Dragonite 149/165: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Dragonite 149/165, PSA 10 sells for 5x a PSA 9, an $86 delta, which is an unusually wide gem-mint premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $107.95 on Mar 13, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$107.95
Last sale $107.95 on
PSA 9
$21.47
Last sale $21.47 on
PSA 8
$8.50
Last sale $8.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Dragonite 149/165 (SV: Scarlet & Violet 151).
$86
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
5x
PSA 10 sells for 5x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 picture: a modern-era card carrying an $86 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 5x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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