How much is a PSA 10 Charizard ex 199/165 (SV: Scarlet & Violet 151) worth?

A PSA 10 Charizard ex 199/165 from SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 is currently worth about $1,735, based on recent eBay sold comps via PokeTrace.

How much is a PSA 9 Charizard ex 199/165 (SV: Scarlet & Violet 151) worth?

A PSA 9 Charizard ex 199/165 from SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 is currently worth about $431, based on recent eBay sold comps via PokeTrace.

What is the PSA 10 vs PSA 9 price gap on Charizard ex 199/165 (SV: Scarlet & Violet 151)?

PSA 10 ($1,735) trades at roughly a $1,304 premium over PSA 9 ($431), about 4x.

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Charizard ex 199/165: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Charizard ex 199/165 shows a wide gem-mint premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $1,304 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 4x. The crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

PSA 10

$1,734.94

PSA 9

$430.59

PSA 8

—

Limited recent sales tracked. Pull eBay sold comps before acting.

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Charizard ex 199/165 (SV: Scarlet & Violet 151).

$1,304

Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10

PSA 10 sells for 4x a PSA 9

The Cross-Grade Read

Where this card sits across grade tiers, and against its own set.

Grade-Tier Spread

Raw to PSA 9 $66 (18%)

PSA 9 to PSA 10 $1,304 (303%)

Raw to PSA 10 $1,370 (375%)

Set-Wide Cross-Grade Spread

This card, PSA 10 to PSA 9

#91 of 132

Approx. widest-gap rank in SV: Scarlet & Violet 151

5.1x

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 median gap

At 4x, the gem-mint premium on this card is in line with the set versus the SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 median of 5.1x, approximately the 91st-widest gem-mint gap of 132 priced SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 cards.

Dealer Read

There is real money in the gem-mint jump: a PSA 10 trades at 4x a PSA 9. It ranks approximately 91st of 132 in the set for gem-mint spread, in line with the set against the 5.1x median.

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

PSA 9 acquisition cost ($)

PSA resub cost ($)

Probability of each outcome (must total 100%)

PSA 10 (upgrade) 15%

PSA 9 (regrade) 70%

PSA 8 (downgrade) 15%

Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.

PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0

PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0

PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0

Expected Value

Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 picture: a modern-era card carrying a $1,304 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 4x multiple on the PSA 9 price.

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