SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Charizard ex #199: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Charizard ex #199 shows a wide gem-mint premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $1,314 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 4x. Based on a recent PSA 10 sale of $1,649.67 on May 29, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
PSA 10
$1,750.81
Last sale $1,649.67 on
PSA 9
$437.17
Last sale $415.00 on
PSA 8
$379.78
Last sale $420.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Charizard ex #199 SV: Scarlet & Violet 151.
$1,314
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4x
PSA 10 sells for 4x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 picture: a non-holo with a $1,314 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.
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