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Team Rocket Dark Charizard 4/82: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

Team Rocket Dark Charizard 4/82 shows an unusually wide gem-mint premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $12,963 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 15.5x. The crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

Team Rocket Dark Charizard 4/82 Holo
PSA 10
$13,855.01
PSA 9
$892.24
PSA 8
Limited recent sales tracked. Pull eBay sold comps before acting.

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Dark Charizard 4/82 (Team Rocket).

$12,963
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
15.5x
PSA 10 sells for 15.5x a PSA 9

The Cross-Grade Read

Where this card sits across grade tiers, and against its own set.

Grade-Tier Spread
Raw to PSA 9 $671 (303%)
PSA 9 to PSA 10 $12,963 (1,453%)
Raw to PSA 10 $13,634 (6,158%)
Set-Wide Cross-Grade Spread
15.5x
This card, PSA 10 to PSA 9
#4 of 54
Approx. widest-gap rank in Team Rocket
3.8x
Team Rocket median gap

At 15.5x, the gem-mint premium on this card is an unusually wide gap versus the Team Rocket median of 3.8x, approximately the 4th-widest gem-mint gap of 54 priced Team Rocket cards.

Dealer Read

The grade is doing the heavy lifting on price here: a PSA 10 trades at 15.5x a PSA 9. It ranks approximately 4th of 54 in the set for gem-mint spread, an unusually wide gap against the 3.8x median.

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Team Rocket 4/82 Dark Charizard Holo is a WOTC-era release from 2000. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $12,963.

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