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SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Charizard VSTAR 18/172: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Charizard VSTAR 18/172 is a wide gem-mint premium: $85, with PSA 10 copies trading at 3.5x a PSA 9. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $120.83 on May 25, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Charizard VSTAR 18/172 Holo
PSA 10
$119.82
Last sale $120.83 on
PSA 9
$34.56
Last sale $41.00 on
PSA 8
$33.36
Last sale $51.09 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Charizard VSTAR 18/172 (SWSH09: Brilliant Stars).

$85
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.5x
PSA 10 sells for 3.5x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

SWSH09: Brilliant Stars 18/172 Charizard VSTAR Holo is a modern-era release from 2022. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $85.

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