SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Charizard V 17/172: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Charizard V 17/172, PSA 10 sells for 4.2x a PSA 9, a $99 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $160.00 on May 26, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$129.16
Last sale $160.00 on
PSA 9
$30.66
Last sale $29.00 on
PSA 8
$16.25
Last sale $11.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Charizard V 17/172 (SWSH09: Brilliant Stars).
$99
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4.2x
PSA 10 sells for 4.2x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SWSH09: Brilliant Stars picture: a modern-era holo carrying a $99 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 4.2x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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