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SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Arceus V 165/172: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Arceus V 165/172 is a wide gem-mint premium: $60, with PSA 10 copies trading at 3.7x a PSA 9. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $99.99 on May 19, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Arceus V 165/172
PSA 10
$82.41
Last sale $99.99 on
PSA 9
$22.00
Last sale $22.00 on
PSA 8
$19.44
Last sale $19.44 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Arceus V 165/172 (SWSH09: Brilliant Stars).

$60
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.7x
PSA 10 sells for 3.7x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader SWSH09: Brilliant Stars picture: a modern-era card carrying a $60 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 3.7x multiple on the PSA 9 price.

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