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SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Arceus V 122/172: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

On SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Arceus V 122/172, PSA 10 sells for 2.5x a PSA 9, a $35 delta, which is a meaningful PSA 10 premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $51.00 on May 17, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Arceus V 122/172 Holo
PSA 10
$57.89
Last sale $51.00 on
PSA 9
$22.90
Last sale $16.61 on
PSA 8
$10.50
Last sale $10.50 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Arceus V 122/172 (SWSH09: Brilliant Stars).

$35
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
2.5x
PSA 10 sells for 2.5x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

SWSH09: Brilliant Stars 122/172 Arceus V Holo is a modern-era release from 2022. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $35.

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