SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Arceus VSTAR 123/172: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Arceus VSTAR 123/172 is a meaningful PSA 10 premium: $34, with PSA 10 copies trading at 2.5x a PSA 9. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $64.99 on May 26, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$56.74
Last sale $64.99 on
PSA 9
$22.88
Last sale $19.25 on
PSA 8
$13.40
Last sale $13.40 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Arceus VSTAR 123/172 (SWSH09: Brilliant Stars).
$34
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
2.5x
PSA 10 sells for 2.5x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SWSH09: Brilliant Stars picture: a modern-era holo carrying a $34 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 2.5x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
More Arceus Comparisons
- Arceus V 166/172 PSA 9 vs PSA 10 - SWSH09: Brilliant Stars
- Arceus VSTAR 176/172 PSA 9 vs PSA 10 - SWSH09: Brilliant Stars
- Arceus VSTAR 184/172 PSA 9 vs PSA 10 - SWSH09: Brilliant Stars
- Arceus V 165/172 PSA 9 vs PSA 10 - SWSH09: Brilliant Stars
- Arceus V 122/172 PSA 9 vs PSA 10 - SWSH09: Brilliant Stars
Other SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Heavy Hitters
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