SV03: Obsidian Flames Charizard ex 215/197: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV03: Obsidian Flames Charizard ex 215/197, PSA 10 sells for 4.2x a PSA 9, a $151 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $220.00 on May 29, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$198.05
Last sale $220.00 on
PSA 9
$47.14
Last sale $51.00 on
PSA 8
$36.79
Last sale $38.39 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Charizard ex 215/197 (SV03: Obsidian Flames).
$151
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4.2x
PSA 10 sells for 4.2x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV03: Obsidian Flames picture: a modern-era card carrying a $151 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 4.2x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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