Celebrations: Classic Collection Cleffa #20: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

On Celebrations: Classic Collection Cleffa #20, the PSA 10 premium is a meaningful PSA 10 premium: PSA 10 sells for 2.9x a PSA 9, a $35 delta. Based on a recent PSA 10 sale of $57.99 on May 28, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

PSA 10

$53.42

Last sale $57.99 on May 28, 2026 UTC

PSA 9

$18.18

Last sale $15.50 on May 20, 2026 UTC

PSA 8

$10.67

Last sale $12.25 on Dec 22, 2025 UTC

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Cleffa #20 Celebrations: Classic Collection.

$35

Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10

2.9x

PSA 10 sells for 2.9x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

PSA 9 acquisition cost ($)

PSA resub cost ($)

Probability of each outcome (must total 100%)

PSA 10 (upgrade) 15%

PSA 9 (regrade) 70%

PSA 8 (downgrade) 15%

Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.

PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0

PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0

PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0

Expected Value

Math favors holding the 9

Celebrations: Classic Collection #20 Cleffa released in 2021 sits in the vintage WOTC tier where gem-mint premiums above $35 are common. PSA 10 populations shrink faster than supply on cards of this era, which is why the upgrade arbitrage stays alive.

More Cleffa Comparisons

Other Celebrations: Classic Collection Heavy Hitters

Track every grade tier. Spot every gap.

Real PSA prices across every grade tier. Founding member rate $3.99/mo locked forever. First 100 only.

Claim founding member rate

First 100 only. Founding member rate $3.99/mo locked forever.