Celebrations: Classic Collection _____'s Pikachu #24: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on Celebrations: Classic Collection _____'s Pikachu #24 is one of the widest gaps in vintage WOTC: $259, with PSA 10 copies trading at 5x a PSA 9. Based on a recent PSA 10 sale of $315.00 on May 30, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

PSA 10

$324.06

Last sale $315.00 on May 30, 2026 UTC

PSA 9

$64.69

Last sale $64.50 on May 30, 2026 UTC

PSA 8

$47.53

Last sale $53.00 on May 26, 2026 UTC

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on _____'s Pikachu #24 Celebrations: Classic Collection.

$259

Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10

PSA 10 sells for 5x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

PSA 9 acquisition cost ($)

PSA resub cost ($)

Probability of each outcome (must total 100%)

PSA 10 (upgrade) 15%

PSA 9 (regrade) 70%

PSA 8 (downgrade) 15%

Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.

PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0

PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0

PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0

Expected Value

Math favors holding the 9

Celebrations: Classic Collection #24 _____'s Pikachu released in 2021 sits in the vintage WOTC tier where gem-mint premiums above $259 are common. PSA 10 populations shrink faster than supply on cards of this era, which is why the upgrade arbitrage stays alive.

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