Celebrations: Classic Collection Umbreon ★ 17/25: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On Celebrations: Classic Collection Umbreon ★ 17/25, PSA 10 sells for 4.2x a PSA 9, a $340 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $449.00 on May 30, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
PSA 10
$446.30
Last sale $449.00 on
PSA 9
$106.68
Last sale $127.83 on
PSA 8
$92.06
Last sale $90.55 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Umbreon ★ 17/25 (Celebrations: Classic Collection).
$340
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4.2x
PSA 10 sells for 4.2x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader Celebrations: Classic Collection picture: a modern-era card carrying a $340 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 4.2x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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