SWSH11: Lost Origin Collapsed Stadium 215/196: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SWSH11: Lost Origin Collapsed Stadium 215/196, PSA 10 sells for 3.1x a PSA 9, a $32 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $55.00 on May 7, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$47.50
Last sale $55.00 on
PSA 9
$15.40
Last sale $15.40 on
PSA 8
$15.00
Last sale $15.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Collapsed Stadium 215/196 (SWSH11: Lost Origin).
$32
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.1x
PSA 10 sells for 3.1x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SWSH11: Lost Origin picture: a modern-era card carrying a $32 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 3.1x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
Other SWSH11: Lost Origin Heavy Hitters
- SWSH11: Lost Origin Giratina V 186/196
- SWSH11: Lost Origin Aerodactyl V 180/196
- SWSH11: Lost Origin Giratina V 185/196
- SWSH11: Lost Origin Giratina VSTAR 201/196
- SWSH11: Lost Origin Giratina VSTAR 212/196
- SWSH11: Lost Origin Rotom V 177/196
- SWSH11: Lost Origin Hisuian Zoroark V 146/196
- SWSH11: Lost Origin Radiant Gardevoir 69/196
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