SWSH11: Lost Origin Giratina VSTAR 212/196: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SWSH11: Lost Origin Giratina VSTAR 212/196, PSA 10 sells for 3.5x a PSA 9, an $86 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $154.49 on May 29, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$120.34
Last sale $154.49 on
PSA 9
$34.63
Last sale $33.84 on
PSA 8
$18.11
Last sale $20.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Giratina VSTAR 212/196 (SWSH11: Lost Origin).
$86
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.5x
PSA 10 sells for 3.5x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SWSH11: Lost Origin 212/196 Giratina VSTAR is a modern-era release from 2022. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $86.
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