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SWSH11: Lost Origin Miss Fortune Sisters 209/196: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

On SWSH11: Lost Origin Miss Fortune Sisters 209/196, PSA 10 sells for 3.2x a PSA 9, a $25 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $39.95 on May 26, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

SWSH11: Lost Origin Miss Fortune Sisters 209/196
PSA 10
$35.98
Last sale $39.95 on
PSA 9
$11.25
Last sale $12.50 on
PSA 8
$9.27
Last sale $9.27 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Miss Fortune Sisters 209/196 (SWSH11: Lost Origin).

$25
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.2x
PSA 10 sells for 3.2x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader SWSH11: Lost Origin picture: a modern-era card carrying a $25 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 3.2x multiple on the PSA 9 price.

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