SWSH11: Lost Origin Miss Fortune Sisters 194/196: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SWSH11: Lost Origin Miss Fortune Sisters 194/196, PSA 10 sells for 2.1x a PSA 9, a $16 delta, which is a meaningful PSA 10 premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $39.00 on May 17, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$31.83
Last sale $39.00 on
PSA 9
$15.50
Last sale $15.50 on
PSA 8
$12.50
Last sale $12.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Miss Fortune Sisters 194/196 (SWSH11: Lost Origin).
$16
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
2.1x
PSA 10 sells for 2.1x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SWSH11: Lost Origin 194/196 Miss Fortune Sisters is a modern-era release from 2022. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $16.
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