SWSH11: Lost Origin Lady 208/196: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
SWSH11: Lost Origin Lady 208/196 shows a meaningful PSA 10 premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $21 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 2.5x. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $34.99 on Apr 29, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$35.25
Last sale $34.99 on
PSA 9
$14.11
Last sale $16.26 on
PSA 8
$10.87
Last sale $8.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Lady 208/196 (SWSH11: Lost Origin).
$21
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
2.5x
PSA 10 sells for 2.5x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SWSH11: Lost Origin 208/196 Lady is a modern-era release from 2022. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $21.
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