SWSH11: Lost Origin Lady #193: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
SWSH11: Lost Origin Lady #193 shows a meaningful PSA 10 premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $29 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 2.5x. Based on a recent PSA 10 sale of $50.99 on May 24, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$48.31
Last sale $50.99 on
PSA 9
$18.99
Last sale $17.99 on
PSA 8
$8.16
Last sale $8.16 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Lady #193 SWSH11: Lost Origin.
$29
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
2.5x
PSA 10 sells for 2.5x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SWSH11: Lost Origin picture: a non-holo with a $29 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.
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