SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Charmeleon #5: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Charmeleon #5, the PSA 10 premium is one of the widest gaps in vintage WOTC: PSA 10 sells for 7.8x a PSA 9, a $71 delta. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $55.00 on Mar 23, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$81.50
Last sale $55.00 on
PSA 9
$10.40
Last sale $10.40 on
PSA 8
$13.00
Last sale $13.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Charmeleon #5 SV: Scarlet & Violet 151.
$71
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
7.8x
PSA 10 sells for 7.8x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 picture: a non-holo with a $71 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.
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