SV: Paldean Fates Charmeleon 8/91: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV: Paldean Fates Charmeleon 8/91, PSA 10 sells for 3.7x a PSA 9, a $42 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $70.75 on Apr 13, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$57.88
Last sale $70.75 on
PSA 9
$15.50
Last sale $15.50 on
PSA 8
$8.52
Last sale $8.52 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Charmeleon 8/91 (SV: Paldean Fates).
$42
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.7x
PSA 10 sells for 3.7x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SV: Paldean Fates 8/91 Charmeleon is a modern-era release from 2024. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $42.
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