SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Pidgeot 18/165: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Pidgeot 18/165 is a meaningful PSA 10 premium: $26, with PSA 10 copies trading at 2.9x a PSA 9. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $39.99 on Dec 18, 2023, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$39.99
Last sale $39.99 on
PSA 9
$14.00
Last sale $14.00 on
PSA 8
$12.50
Last sale $12.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Pidgeot 18/165 (SV: Scarlet & Violet 151).
$26
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
2.9x
PSA 10 sells for 2.9x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 18/165 Pidgeot is a modern-era release from 2023. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $26.
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