SV: Paldean Fates Chien-Pao ex 242/91: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV: Paldean Fates Chien-Pao ex 242/91, PSA 10 sells for 5.4x a PSA 9, an $81 delta, which is an unusually wide gem-mint premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $99.99 on May 23, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$99.99
Last sale $99.99 on
PSA 9
$18.49
Last sale $19.00 on
PSA 8
$5.50
Last sale $4.25 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Chien-Pao ex 242/91 (SV: Paldean Fates).
$81
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
5.4x
PSA 10 sells for 5.4x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SV: Paldean Fates 242/91 Chien-Pao ex is a modern-era release from 2024. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $81.
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