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SV: Paldean Fates Pidgeotto 197/91: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

On SV: Paldean Fates Pidgeotto 197/91, PSA 10 sells for 3x a PSA 9, a $60 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $120.00 on May 28, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

SV: Paldean Fates Pidgeotto 197/91
PSA 10
$90.00
Last sale $120.00 on
PSA 9
$29.75
Last sale $29.75 on
PSA 8
Limited recent sales tracked. Pull eBay sold comps before acting.

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Pidgeotto 197/91 (SV: Paldean Fates).

$60
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3x
PSA 10 sells for 3x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader SV: Paldean Fates picture: a modern-era card carrying a $60 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 3x multiple on the PSA 9 price.

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