SV: Paldean Fates Noibat 194/91: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV: Paldean Fates Noibat 194/91, PSA 10 sells for 4.2x a PSA 9, a $57 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $74.00 on Mar 14, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$74.00
Last sale $74.00 on
PSA 9
$17.49
Last sale $15.00 on
PSA 8
—
Limited recent sales tracked. Pull eBay sold comps before acting.
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Noibat 194/91 (SV: Paldean Fates).
$57
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4.2x
PSA 10 sells for 4.2x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SV: Paldean Fates 194/91 Noibat is a modern-era release from 2024. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $57.
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