SV: Paldean Fates Lucario 174/91: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SV: Paldean Fates Lucario 174/91 is an unusually wide gem-mint premium: $234, with PSA 10 copies trading at 8.7x a PSA 9. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $295.00 on May 25, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
PSA 10
$264.75
Last sale $295.00 on
PSA 9
$30.33
Last sale $31.00 on
PSA 8
$9.50
Last sale $10.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Lucario 174/91 (SV: Paldean Fates).
$234
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
8.7x
PSA 10 sells for 8.7x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SV: Paldean Fates 174/91 Lucario is a modern-era release from 2024. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $234.
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