SV: Paldean Fates Abra #148: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
SV: Paldean Fates Abra #148 shows a wide gem-mint premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $93 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 4.9x. Based on a recent PSA 10 sale of $134.95 on May 24, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$117.48
Last sale $134.95 on
PSA 9
$24.00
Last sale $24.00 on
PSA 8
—
Limited recent sales tracked. Pull eBay sold comps before acting.
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Abra #148 SV: Paldean Fates.
$93
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4.9x
PSA 10 sells for 4.9x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SV: Paldean Fates #148 Abra released in 2024 sits in the vintage WOTC tier where gem-mint premiums above $93 are common. PSA 10 populations shrink faster than supply on cards of this era, which is why the upgrade arbitrage stays alive.
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