SV: Paldean Fates Wugtrio #122: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV: Paldean Fates Wugtrio #122, the PSA 10 premium is one of the widest gaps in vintage WOTC: PSA 10 sells for 17.8x a PSA 9, a $110 delta. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $116.00 on Apr 7, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$116.00
Last sale $116.00 on
PSA 9
$6.50
Last sale $6.50 on
PSA 8
$12.00
Last sale $10.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Wugtrio #122 SV: Paldean Fates.
$110
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
17.8x
PSA 10 sells for 17.8x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SV: Paldean Fates #122 Wugtrio released in 2024 sits in the vintage WOTC tier where gem-mint premiums above $110 are common. PSA 10 populations shrink faster than supply on cards of this era, which is why the upgrade arbitrage stays alive.
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