SV: Paldean Fates Wiglett #121: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
SV: Paldean Fates Wiglett #121 shows a wide gem-mint premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $23 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 3.6x. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $42.99 on Aug 4, 2025, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$31.33
Last sale $42.99 on
PSA 9
$8.78
Last sale $20.00 on
PSA 8
—
Limited recent sales tracked. Pull eBay sold comps before acting.
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Wiglett #121 SV: Paldean Fates.
$23
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.6x
PSA 10 sells for 3.6x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV: Paldean Fates picture: a non-holo with a $23 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.
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