Neo Genesis Lugia 9/111: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on Neo Genesis Lugia 9/111 is a modest premium: -$2,538, with PSA 10 copies trading at 0x a PSA 9. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $120.00 on Mar 26, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$116.67
Last sale $120.00 on
PSA 9
$2,654.75
Last sale $1,650.00 on
PSA 8
$1,194.25
Last sale $1,125.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Lugia 9/111 (Neo Genesis).
-$2,538
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
0x
PSA 10 sells for 0x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader Neo Genesis picture: a WOTC-era holo carrying a -$2,538 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 0x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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