SWSH12: Silver Tempest Lugia V 138/195: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SWSH12: Silver Tempest Lugia V 138/195 is an unusually wide gem-mint premium: $166, with PSA 10 copies trading at 5.7x a PSA 9. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $203.74 on May 30, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$200.99
Last sale $203.74 on
PSA 9
$34.99
Last sale $34.99 on
PSA 8
$23.39
Last sale $21.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Lugia V 138/195 (SWSH12: Silver Tempest).
$166
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
5.7x
PSA 10 sells for 5.7x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SWSH12: Silver Tempest 138/195 Lugia V Holo is a modern-era release from 2022. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $166.
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