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Team Rocket Dark Rapidash 44/82: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

On Team Rocket Dark Rapidash 44/82, PSA 10 sells for 2.1x a PSA 9, a $27 delta, which is a meaningful PSA 10 premium. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $24.50 on Jan 2, 2023, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

Team Rocket Dark Rapidash 44/82
PSA 10
$50.78
Last sale $24.50 on
PSA 9
$23.80
Last sale $22.56 on
PSA 8
$16.95
Last sale $45.00 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Dark Rapidash 44/82 (Team Rocket).

$27
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
2.1x
PSA 10 sells for 2.1x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Team Rocket 44/82 Dark Rapidash is a WOTC-era release from 2000. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $27.

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