SWSH11: Lost Origin Iscan 207/196: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SWSH11: Lost Origin Iscan 207/196 is an unusually wide gem-mint premium: $27, with PSA 10 copies trading at 9.3x a PSA 9. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $20.50 on May 27, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$30.25
Last sale $20.50 on
PSA 9
$3.25
Last sale $3.25 on
PSA 8
$7.50
Last sale $7.50 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Iscan 207/196 (SWSH11: Lost Origin).
$27
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
9.3x
PSA 10 sells for 9.3x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SWSH11: Lost Origin picture: a modern-era card carrying a $27 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 9.3x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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