SWSH11: Lost Origin Volo 196/196: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
SWSH11: Lost Origin Volo 196/196 shows an unusually wide gem-mint premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $41 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 5.1x. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $51.00 on May 20, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$51.00
Last sale $51.00 on
PSA 9
$10.00
Last sale $10.00 on
PSA 8
$14.99
Last sale $14.99 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Volo 196/196 (SWSH11: Lost Origin).
$41
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
5.1x
PSA 10 sells for 5.1x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SWSH11: Lost Origin 196/196 Volo is a modern-era release from 2022. The gap between its PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices is $41.
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