SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Raichu V 45/172: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Raichu V 45/172 is a modest premium: $11, with PSA 10 copies trading at 1.7x a PSA 9. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $28.55 on Apr 19, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$28.55
Last sale $28.55 on
PSA 9
$17.25
Last sale $19.50 on
PSA 8
$9.28
Last sale $10.19 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Raichu V 45/172 (SWSH09: Brilliant Stars).
$11
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
1.7x
PSA 10 sells for 1.7x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SWSH09: Brilliant Stars picture: a modern-era holo carrying an $11 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 1.7x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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