SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Moltres #21: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Moltres #21 is a modest premium: $2, with PSA 10 copies trading at 1.1x a PSA 9. Based on the last tracked PSA 10 sale of $20.00 on Nov 1, 2024, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$20.00
Last sale $20.00 on
PSA 9
$18.25
Last sale $18.25 on
PSA 8
—
Limited recent sales tracked. Pull eBay sold comps before acting.
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Moltres #21 SWSH09: Brilliant Stars.
$2
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
1.1x
PSA 10 sells for 1.1x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SWSH09: Brilliant Stars picture: a holo with a $2 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.
More Moltres Comparisons
Other SWSH09: Brilliant Stars Heavy Hitters
Track every grade tier. Spot every gap.
Real PSA prices across every grade tier. Founding member rate $3.99/mo locked forever. First 100 only.
Claim founding member rateFirst 100 only. Founding member rate $3.99/mo locked forever.