SV04: Paradox Rift Iron Valiant ex 261/182: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SV04: Paradox Rift Iron Valiant ex 261/182 is a wide gem-mint premium: $49, with PSA 10 copies trading at 3.3x a PSA 9. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $69.95 on May 19, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$69.95
Last sale $69.95 on
PSA 9
$20.99
Last sale $17.00 on
PSA 8
$9.38
Last sale $25.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Iron Valiant ex 261/182 (SV04: Paradox Rift).
$49
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.3x
PSA 10 sells for 3.3x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV04: Paradox Rift picture: a modern-era card carrying a $49 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 3.3x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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