SV04: Paradox Rift Groudon #199: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
SV04: Paradox Rift Groudon #199 shows a wide gem-mint premium between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $468 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 4.6x. Based on a recent PSA 10 sale of $669.38 on May 29, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
PSA 10
$598.57
Last sale $669.38 on
PSA 9
$130.81
Last sale $138.87 on
PSA 8
$96.70
Last sale $99.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Groudon #199 SV04: Paradox Rift.
$468
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4.6x
PSA 10 sells for 4.6x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV04: Paradox Rift picture: a non-holo with a $468 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.
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