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SV04: Paradox Rift Garchomp ex 245/182: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

On SV04: Paradox Rift Garchomp ex 245/182, PSA 10 sells for 5.1x a PSA 9, a $185 delta, which is an unusually wide gem-mint premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $250.00 on May 25, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

SV04: Paradox Rift Garchomp ex 245/182
PSA 10
$229.69
Last sale $250.00 on
PSA 9
$44.94
Last sale $46.00 on
PSA 8
$35.59
Last sale $34.50 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Garchomp ex 245/182 (SV04: Paradox Rift).

$185
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
5.1x
PSA 10 sells for 5.1x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader SV04: Paradox Rift picture: a modern-era card carrying a $185 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 5.1x multiple on the PSA 9 price.

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