SV04: Paradox Rift Espathra 197/182: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV04: Paradox Rift Espathra 197/182, PSA 10 sells for 3.6x a PSA 9, a $51 delta, which is a wide gem-mint premium. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $100.91 on May 29, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$70.80
Last sale $100.91 on
PSA 9
$19.62
Last sale $24.99 on
PSA 8
$10.62
Last sale $16.99 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Espathra 197/182 (SV04: Paradox Rift).
$51
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.6x
PSA 10 sells for 3.6x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV04: Paradox Rift picture: a modern-era card carrying a $51 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 3.6x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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