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SV03: Obsidian Flames Pidgey 207/197: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SV03: Obsidian Flames Pidgey 207/197 is an unusually wide gem-mint premium: $183, with PSA 10 copies trading at 8x a PSA 9. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $250.00 on May 29, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

SV03: Obsidian Flames Pidgey 207/197
PSA 10
$208.60
Last sale $250.00 on
PSA 9
$25.98
Last sale $28.00 on
PSA 8
$17.60
Last sale $21.00 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Pidgey 207/197 (SV03: Obsidian Flames).

$183
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
8x
PSA 10 sells for 8x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader SV03: Obsidian Flames picture: a modern-era card carrying a $183 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, an 8x multiple on the PSA 9 price.

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