SV03: Obsidian Flames Dragonite ex 159/197: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
The PSA 10 to PSA 9 spread on SV03: Obsidian Flames Dragonite ex 159/197 is a wide gem-mint premium: $50, with PSA 10 copies trading at 3.5x a PSA 9. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $98.99 on May 14, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.
PSA 10
$69.56
Last sale $98.99 on
PSA 9
$20.00
Last sale $20.00 on
PSA 8
$11.12
Last sale $12.00 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Dragonite ex 159/197 (SV03: Obsidian Flames).
$50
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
3.5x
PSA 10 sells for 3.5x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
Where this card lands in the broader SV03: Obsidian Flames picture: a modern-era card carrying a $50 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10, a 3.5x multiple on the PSA 9 price.
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