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SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Erika's Invitation #203: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

On SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Erika's Invitation #203, the PSA 10 premium is a wide gem-mint premium: PSA 10 sells for 5x a PSA 9, a $109 delta. Based on a recent PSA 10 sale of $129.97 on May 29, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Erika's Invitation #203
PSA 10
$136.05
Last sale $129.97 on
PSA 9
$27.41
Last sale $21.50 on
PSA 8
$24.21
Last sale $20.00 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Erika's Invitation #203 SV: Scarlet & Violet 151.

$109
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
5x
PSA 10 sells for 5x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

Where this card lands in the broader SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 picture: a non-holo with a $109 gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10. The PSA 9 to PSA 10 jump on WOTC-era cards reflects population scarcity at the top grade, not raw print run.

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