SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Poliwhirl #176: PSA 9 vs PSA 10
On SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Poliwhirl #176, the PSA 10 premium is one of the widest gaps in vintage WOTC: PSA 10 sells for 5.1x a PSA 9, a $245 delta. Based on a recent PSA 10 sale of $285.00 on May 26, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.
PSA 10
$304.54
Last sale $285.00 on
PSA 9
$59.49
Last sale $63.00 on
PSA 8
$41.08
Last sale $51.34 on
The Spread
The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Poliwhirl #176 SV: Scarlet & Violet 151.
$245
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
5.1x
PSA 10 sells for 5.1x a PSA 9
Three-Outcome EV Calculator
15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition)
$0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade)
$0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital)
$0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9
SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 #176 Poliwhirl released in 2023 sits in the vintage WOTC tier where gem-mint premiums above $245 are common. PSA 10 populations shrink faster than supply on cards of this era, which is why the upgrade arbitrage stays alive.
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