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SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Squirtle #170: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

On SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Squirtle #170, the PSA 10 premium is a wide gem-mint premium: PSA 10 sells for 4.8x a PSA 9, a $417 delta. Based on a recent PSA 10 sale of $600.00 on May 30, 2026, the crack-and-resub math favors the resub: expected value is positive even at a conservative 15% upgrade probability.

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Squirtle #170
PSA 10
$528.23
Last sale $600.00 on
PSA 9
$111.20
Last sale $115.50 on
PSA 8
$85.55
Last sale $85.50 on

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Squirtle #170 SV: Scarlet & Violet 151.

$417
Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10
4.8x
PSA 10 sells for 4.8x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

15%
70%
15%
Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.
PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0
PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0
PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0
Expected Value
$0
Math favors holding the 9

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 #170 Squirtle released in 2023 sits in the vintage WOTC tier where gem-mint premiums above $417 are common. PSA 10 populations shrink faster than supply on cards of this era, which is why the upgrade arbitrage stays alive.

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