SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Aerodactyl #142: PSA 9 vs PSA 10

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 Aerodactyl #142 shows one of the widest gaps in vintage WOTC between PSA 9 and PSA 10: a $145 dollar gap, with the gem mint multiplier at 15.1x. Based on the most recent PSA 10 sale of $155.50 on Apr 20, 2026, the math leans toward holding the 9: expected value turns negative at conservative upgrade probabilities once the resub fee is in.

PSA 10

$155.50

Last sale $155.50 on Apr 20, 2026 UTC

PSA 9

$10.27

Last sale $10.02 on Mar 22, 2026 UTC

PSA 8

$10.00

Last sale $10.00 on Feb 12, 2026 UTC

The Spread

The PSA 9 to PSA 10 spread on Aerodactyl #142 SV: Scarlet & Violet 151.

$145

Dollar gap, PSA 9 to PSA 10

15.1x

PSA 10 sells for 15.1x a PSA 9

Three-Outcome EV Calculator

PSA 9 acquisition cost ($)

PSA resub cost ($)

Probability of each outcome (must total 100%)

PSA 10 (upgrade) 15%

PSA 9 (regrade) 70%

PSA 8 (downgrade) 15%

Defaults are conservative starting points. Adjust based on the specific slab. A borderline 9 with strong centering plays differently than a 9 with edge wear.

PSA 10 outcome (sale price minus resub minus acquisition) $0

PSA 9 outcome (regrade, no upgrade) $0

PSA 8 outcome (downgrade, slower sell, tied capital) $0

Expected Value

Math favors holding the 9

SV: Scarlet & Violet 151 #142 Aerodactyl released in 2023 sits in the vintage WOTC tier where gem-mint premiums above $145 are common. PSA 10 populations shrink faster than supply on cards of this era, which is why the upgrade arbitrage stays alive.

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